Research methodology
Every deployment is a dated claim about one operator in one city. Each financial result is a scenario built from inputs you can inspect.
How a record gets verified
A reviewer reads a service map, operator announcement, regulator filing or independently reported account. The record stores the publisher, link, service status, date checked and any unresolved details. Testing, employee service, free public rides and paid public rides have distinct meanings.
What the tracker counts
Our coverage is a curated sample. One deployment is one operator and city, even when several vehicle types operate there. Historical milestones use the date they happened. A verification date records when a reviewer checked the evidence. Coordinates are approximate city centers.
How the owner model works
Available hours are scheduled hours less the time reserved for personal miles. Paid hours multiplied by speed yield paid miles. Fares multiplied by the assumed owner share yield owner revenue. Paid and empty miles incur energy, maintenance and depreciation. Fixed expenses and an optional illustrative tax reserve reduce profit. Loan payments are compared with cash after adding back the wear reserve.
What low and high mean
The owner model pairs the low utilization with the low private-owner share, then repeats for base and high. These combinations are illustrative scenarios. They are not statistical confidence intervals. A change in cost can turn any case into a loss.
Fleet, rider and driver models
The fleet model includes a utilization ramp, loan amortization and the sale of remaining vehicle equity in month 36. The rider model compares quotes and fixed ownership costs. The driver model lets you choose the share of work exposed to substitution and the share actually lost.
Freshness and corrections
A nightly job flags records older than 30 days for review. A 60-day warning appears next to stale page dates. A correction updates the source record and its verification date. Check the source for the latest operating area before taking a trip.
Download the tracker data and source links. For U.S. self-employment tax assumptions, see the IRS guidance.
The Robotaxi Profit Report
Get the week’s verified service changes and the numbers behind them.